Sports betting can be quite profitable if an individual know the techniques typically the “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make money. One of the primary secrets that clever money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT for you to bet.
Here’s a best example of this. I actually analyzed typically the West Virginia vs. Louisville match, and concluded the fact that West Virginia had typically the edge in the video game. Nonetheless I also came to the realization that there was a lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not guarantee on this kind of game. Here is my personal analysis I released before the game:
West California versus Louisville
This activity has all the signals of being one connected with the very best games connected with the year, together with the two teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, equally using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, with Rest of the world Virginia coming again from becoming down big in the independence day fraction to winning throughout overtime, however,.
So what’s the sport appear like this year?
If Online betting singapore were getting played with a basic field, West Va will probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since typically the game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia can be on an unprecedented rotate. They haven’t lost since Jan. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they misplaced to Va Tech. Inside the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 PATH games.
All these are some very outstanding stats that tilt typically the scales in favor involving WVU intended for tonight’s online. Plus, this included added bonus is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This can not look like significantly, but in a close match-up like this, that excess point will make the big difference between some sort of push in addition to a loss.
But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?
Louisville’s gambling are almost as good like WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville within the point spread. In his or her past 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS within their last 10 home activities.
And if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in the home since January 18, 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. five points each game at home, while averaging only stopping 15. six points each game on home. In case a person didn’t do the math concepts, that means considering that his or her last home decline they also have averaged beating his or her opponents by simply about thirty four details per game.
In addition extraordinary, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten the particular range, on average, by simply 13 factors per sport at home considering the year 2003.
Wow… how can an individual go against that?
Here’s exactly how…
Many of those stats ended up accumulated during the june 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They have already had recent games in which they have already only scored 28, 12, 24 points. These online games weren’t against Kansas E. or Michigan. These people were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.
Basically that this is still a new close activity to call. But the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s security to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s simply no purpose to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to mid 20’s. My honest suggestion is usually to lay off this game and not necessarily guess at all. There usually are better game titles this weekend with more simple strengths.
The final score with this game was Louisville forty-four, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to come back the punt for a good TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s edge weren’t so big that they can may still win after doing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on that activity, people severe with regards to wagering saved money they can put to better use on forthcoming games.