Sports wagering is often very profitable if anyone know the secrets the “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make money. One of the biggest secrets that wise money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT to bet.
Here’s a excellent illustration. I actually analyzed the Western world Florida vs. Louisville video game, and concluded that West Virginia had the edge in the video game. Nevertheless , I actually also noticed that there initially were a good deal of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not gamble on this specific game. Here is my personal analysis I released ahead of the game:
West Va vs . Louisville
This activity has all the signals of being one regarding the best games regarding the year, along with the two teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, the two along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, together with Western side Virginia coming backside from staying down massive in the next 1 / 4 to winning around overtime, however,.
So what’s the game appearance like this year?
In case this activity were getting played at a new neutral field, West Las vegas would certainly probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented rotate. They will haven’t lost given that April. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they lost to Va Tech. Inside the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 PATH games.
These are some very extraordinary stats that tilt the particular scales in favor of WVU with regard to tonight’s game. Plus, the added in bonus is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This can not seem like very much, but in a shut match-up this way, that extra point could make the change between some sort of push together with a loss.
But some of us wonder what about Louisville?
Louisville’s gambling are usually almost as good while WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In his or her past 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS into their final 10 home activities.
And even if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t shed in the home since January 18, the year 2003! During this current run Louisville is averaging 49. some points per game in your house, while averaging only giving up 15. 6 points for each game at home. In case anyone failed to do the math, that means considering their last home loss they are yet to averaged beating their particular opponents by way of about 34 factors per game.
What’s more impressive, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten typically the divide, on average, by 13 things per game at home given that 2003.
Wow… how can anyone go against that?
Here’s how…
Most of those stats were being established during the july 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They also have possessed recent games by which they have already only scored 35, 23, 24 points. These online games weren’t against Ohio Stycken. or Michigan. These people ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.
To put it succinctly that this is still some sort of close sport to contact. Nevertheless the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s security to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s zero reason to think WVU can’t hold them to the low to middle of the 20’s. ufabet168.info/%E0%B9%81%E0%B8%97%E0%B8%87%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%AD%E0%B8%A5%E0%B9%82%E0%B8%A5%E0%B8%81%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%A7%E0%B9%87%E0%B8%9A%E0%B9%84%E0%B8%AB%E0%B8%99%E0%B8%94%E0%B8%B5 can be to lay off this game and definitely not wager at all. There will be better game titles this end of the week with more clear-cut advantages.
The final score on this game was Louisville forty four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to go back some sort of punt for a new TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s fringe weren’t so big which they could still win following making so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this kind of game, people really serious with regards to gambling saved money they will can offer better work with on upcoming games.
